Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Always Ready		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.67	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	4.7	4.15	1.62	Watch
	5	4.07	1.66
	4.68	4.36	1.64	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.67
	4.75	3.99	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (1.6)	4.06 ↓ (4.16)	2.21 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Always Ready
24.9%

Draw
26.4%

Mirassol
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Always Ready has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Always Ready's form might have worsened.

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+35.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Always Ready, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-30.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.7%	4.9%	41.5%

Always Ready - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Always Ready will win (votes: 22 - 55%). Mirassol will win (votes: 16 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Always Ready: 39.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Always Ready (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Always Ready will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Always Ready (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baroja A. (G) 18. Rodriguez C. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 5. Suarez M. 15. Rodriguez D. 13. Cuellar H. 17. Nava F. 20. Saucedo F. (C) 19. Torrico D. 10. Maraude J. 9. Triverio E.	23. Alex Muralha (G) 16. Igor Carius 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 12. Victor Luis 21. Jose Aldo 8. Denilson 96. Carlos Eduardo 7. Shaylon 95. Edson Carioca 77. Alesson
Substitutes
7. Amoroso J. 33. Collazo Martinez C. M. 23. Godoy J. 8. Gomez J. P. 6. Lima R. 26. Mamani M. 14. Medina Rodriguez C. D. 16. Pasadore F. 12. Paz S. (G) 21. Rambal A. 99. Rodriguez E. (G)	10. Chico Kim 17. Everton Galdino 27. Galeano A. 1. Georgemy (G) 26. Lucas Mugni 9. Nathan Fogaca 97. Rodrigues 90. Thomazella (G) 5. Yuri Lara
Coaches
Straccia M.	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Shaylon ⚽, Alesson (A),
15', Maraude J. 🟨,
39', Torrico D. ↓, Lima R. ↑,
40', Igor Carius 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Nava F. 🟨,
49', Straccia M. 🟨,
49', Victor Luis 🟨,
50', Saucedo F. 🟨,
53', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
55', Igor Carius ↓, Rodrigues ↑,
62', Saucedo F. ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
62', Rodriguez D. ↓, Medina Rodriguez C. D. ↑,
73', Cuellar H. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Maraude J. ⚽, Triverio E. (A),
81', Nava F. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
82', Edson Carioca ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
82', Denilson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Alesson (A),
84', Straccia M. 🟨,
90', Shaylon ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
90', Alesson ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
90+2', Victor Luis 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Always Ready has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mirassol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mirassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.

Mirassol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mirassol: Igor Formiga (Injury) Negueba (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Always Ready: Caicedo L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Andre Luis (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Always Ready won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Mirassol: 1.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.26	Always Ready - The Strongest	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Always Ready	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Always Ready - Lanús	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.26	Always Ready - Nacional Potosí	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Mirassol - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWWL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Mirassol - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Mirassol - Always Ready	2:0

Upcoming Matches