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Mirassol vs LDU Quito Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 07, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7


	Mirassol		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.75
	1.55	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.56	4.1	6.38
	1.54	4.11	6.2	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.54	4.07	6.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)	3.95 ↑ (3.87)	6.25 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
61%

Draw
23.9%

LDU Quito
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 2. Lucas Oliveira 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura (C) 8. Denilson 7. Shaylon 17. Everton Galdino 96. Carlos Eduardo 95. Edson Carioca	1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 44. Segovia L. 33. Quinonez L. 14. Quintero J. (C) 15. Villamil G. 8. Pretell J. 23. Quinonez Y. 20. Cornejo F. 16. Deyverson 9. Medina J.
Substitutes
23. Alex Muralha (G) 99. Andre Luis 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 33. Eduardo 27. Galeano A. 21. Jose Aldo 26. Lucas Mugni 9. Nathan Fogaca 97. Rodrigues 12. Victor Luis 5. Yuri Lara	4. Ade R. 10. Alvarado A. 26. Caicedo J. 24. Calle J. 21. Castillo E. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 5. Minda K. 7. Redes R.
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Lucas Oliveira ⚽,
55', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Reinaldo (Penalty Awarded),
71', Quintero J. ↓, Ade R. ↑,
71', Villamil G. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
71', Deyverson ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
74', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
74', Everton Galdino ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
75', Segovia L. 🟨,
83', Shaylon ↓, Eduardo ↑,
83', Denilson ↓, Yuri Lara ↑,
85', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
85', Medina J. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
90', Edson Carioca ↓, Rodrigues ↑,

Preview

Mirassol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, LDU Quito has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mirassol is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Alesson (Yellow Cards) Igor Carius (Hamstring Injury) Joao Victor (Red Card) Negueba (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Edson Carioca (Injury)

There are questionable in LDU Quito: Corozo J. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

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Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Mirassol: 2.21% LDU Quito: 1.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Mirassol - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Mirassol - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	São Paulo - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Internacional RS - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Lanús - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.04.26	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	2:0

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