Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Australia	beIN Sports 3
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
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North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Mirassol		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.63	3.4	6.25
	1.68	3.40	5.60	Watch
	1.68	3.52	6.37
	1.69	3.48	5.95	Watch
	1.65	3.45	6.30
	1.70	3.45	6.12	Watch
	1.70	3.55	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.76)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	6.16 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
57%

Draw
27.5%

LDU Quito
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

28.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Mirassol - LDU Quito Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 5. Japa 95. Edson Carioca 33. Eduardo 77. Alesson 30. Bruno Santos	1. Valle G. (G) 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 4. Ade R. (C) 44. Segovia L. 67. Carabali J. 20. Cornejo F. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 8. Pretell J. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M. 23. Quinonez Y.
Substitutes
23. Alex Muralha (G) 99. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 8. Denilson 17. Fernandinho 2. Lucas Oliveira 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G) 12. Victor Luis 80. Wallisson	30. Allala Menendez G. F. 10. Alvarado A. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 3. Mina R. 27. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 7. Redes R. 31. Rodriguez J. 26. Zambrano I.
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Eduardo ⚽, Edson Carioca (A),
35', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
41', Neto Moura 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Japa 🟨,
59', Japa ↓, Wallisson ↑,
71', Alesson ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
78', Neto Moura ↓, Denilson ↑,
78', Eduardo ↓, Shaylon ↑,
78', Edson Carioca ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Corozo J. (A),
84', Estrada M. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
84', Gonzalez Baquero S. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
90+3', Cornejo F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LDU Quito is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mirassol is the team to beat.

There will not play in Mirassol: Negueba (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in LDU Quito: Cornejo F. (Calf Injury) Quintero J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

LDU Quito: 1.93% Mirassol: 1.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Grêmio - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Mirassol - Remo	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Vasco da Gama - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.08.26	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
30.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	6:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	2:0
14.04.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	2:0

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