The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 39.7%
Draw 31.5%
Avaí 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
29.6%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
30.1%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
58.3%
16.7%
América Mineiro - Avaí Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Avaí (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 3. Lucao 23. Mariano 5. Elizari F. 17. Stenio 8. Felipe Amaral 15. Kaua Diniz 29. Paulinho 9. Willian Bigode 39. Arthur Sousa
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 2. Railan 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 36. DG 5. Romildo Del Piage 77. Ze Ricardo 8. Joao Vitor 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 94. Emerson Negueba 99. Cleber
Substitutes
20. Aloisio 27. Cassio Meneses (G) 25. David Lopes 2. Emerson Santos 30. Gustavinho 96. Labandeira F. 10. Ortiz C. 4. Rafa Barcelos 99. Rafa Silva 71. Samuel 33. Yago Santos 40. Yago Souza
11. Alef Manga 3. Anderson Jesus 76. Devid 30. Guilherme Santos 7. Hygor 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 32. Leo Reis 17. Nicolas Tadesco 41. Thayllon 34. Wanderson
Coaches
Alberto Valentim
Jair Ventura
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Jamerson ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Arthur Sousa ⚽, Stenio (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mariano ↓, Rafa Barcelos ↑,
46', Joao Vitor ↓, Thayllon ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Kaua Diniz ⚽, Willian Bigode (A),
64', Arthur Sousa ↓, David Lopes ↑,
64', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
66', DG 🟨,
72', Kaua Diniz ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
76', Jamerson ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
76', Cleber ↓, Hygor ↑,
78', Elizari F. ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
81', Railan ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
90', Yago Souza 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Avaí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
América MG could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
Brazil
Watch
#ad
Gustavo (G) 
Elizari F. 
Labandeira F. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
