The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 53.7%
Draw 27.7%
Chapecoense 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
27.3%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.3%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.5%
4.8%
4.8%
América Mineiro - Chapecoense Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Chapecoense (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Mendes (G) 18. Julio Cesar 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 3. Lucao 6. Marlon 42. Miqueias 88. Cauan Barros 7. Miguelito 96. Labandeira F. 39. Arthur Sousa 25. David Lopes
12. Leo Vieira (G) 25. Victor Caetano 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 22. Mailton 5. Jorge Jimenez 99. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Giovanni Augusto 37. Clar W. 77. Italo 18. Neto Pessoa
Substitutes
5. Elizari F. 8. Felipe Amaral 30. Gustavinho 11. Heber 21. Jhosefer 12. Jori (G) 15. Kaua Diniz 23. Mariano 29. Paulinho 14. Rafa Barcelos 17. Stenio 33. Yago Santos
14. Bressan 97. Dentinho 26. Everton 2. Gabriel Inocencio 90. Mailson 95. Marcinho 8. Marlon 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi
Coaches
Moreira E.
Gilmar Pozzo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Italo ⚽,
40', Ricardo Silva ↓, Mariano ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
46', Miqueias ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
46', David Lopes ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
63', Arthur Sousa ↓, Heber ↑,
68', Julio Cesar 🟨,
71', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
71', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
73', Leo Vieira 🟨,
77', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Bressan ↑,
83', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
84', Victor Caetano 🟨,
84', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
85', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Samuel
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Red Card)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Joao Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Brazil
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Matheus Mendes (G) 
Miguelito 
Labandeira F. 
Jorge Jimenez 
Elizari F. 
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