The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 27%
Draw 27.5%
Athletico Paranaense 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
27.5%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
25.9%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Serie B and 3rd in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Chapecoense has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Athletico PR holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense has recorded 2 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:24 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chapecoense against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Athletico-PR
28
14
7
7
43:32
11
49
20
Chapecoense-SC
28
3
9
16
29:57
-28
18
Last Results with these Odds
Chapecoense - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.31%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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