The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 66.6%
Draw 21.2%
Sampaio Corrêa FE 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
26.3%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
27.1%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa FE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa FE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 8. Felipe Amaral 22. Leo Alaba 3. Nathan Pelae 6. Paulinho 20. Paulo Victor 4. Rafa Barcelos (C) 77. Segovia M. 11. Thauan 97. Val Soares 33. Yago Santos
1. Ze Carlos (G) 3. Daniel Nunes 9. Elias 8. Gabriel Agu 2. Gregory 6. Guilherme 10. MT 11. Natan 7. Nunes G. 5. Pablo 4. Renan Diniz
Substitutes
16. Ale 29. Dalbert 21. Eduardo Person 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 42. Jhonny 43. Wesley 19. William (G) 9. Willian Bigode 10. Yago Souza 67. Yarlen
19. Caique 18. Cruz Manhaes O. 12. Eduardo (G) 17. Ewerton Potiguar 20. Jean 14. Lecaros A. 13. Martini J. P. 15. Paulo Victor 16. Walber 31. Ze Pompeu (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Paulo Victor ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Yago Santos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Natan ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
46', MT ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Daniel Nunes ⚽,
60', Elias ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
64', Felipe Amaral ↓, Ale ↑,
64', Val Soares ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
70', Segovia M. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
70', Thauan ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
74', Yarlen 🟨,
76', Guilherme 🟨,
83', Leo Alaba ↓, Jhonny ↑,
83', Renan Diniz 🟨,
Preview
Recent form of América MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sampaio Corrêa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, América MG is seen as the favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Watch
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Gustavo (G) 
Segovia M. 
Elizari F. 
Gonzalo Mastriani 
Lecaros A. 
Walber 
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