The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Cali 51.6%
Draw 26.6%
Independiente Santa Fe 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
30.4%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
29.4%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Cali that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 28. Mina L. M. 4. Mosquera A. 22. Hernandez N. 30. Bertel O. 17. Lucumi J. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 7. Murillo J. 9. Valencia D. 21. Angel T.
1. Mosquera A. (G) 4. Puerta M. 3. Moreno V. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 32. Mafla C. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 19. Bustos N. 16. Torres D. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 11. Rodallega H. (C) 8. Fernandez O.
Substitutes
35. Angulo K. 6. Cavadia J. 19. Palacios J. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G) 2. Torres M. 24. Tovar C.
24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 40. Cuesta M. 2. Juan Quintero 77. Obrian J. 14. Palacios L. 7. Torres J. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Gonzalez D.
Repetto P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mafla C. (A),
14', Hernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mina L. M. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
46', Valencia D. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
46', Murillo J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
53', Bustos N. 🟨,
56', Bustos N. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
56', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
68', Fernandez O. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
68', Puerta M. ↓, Juan Quintero ↑,
73', Mosquera A. ↓, Tovar C. ↑,
80', Lucumi J. ↓, Angulo K. ↑,
85', Juan Quintero ↓, Torres J. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 2.
Recent performances by América de Cali have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santa Fe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
América de Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, América de Cali has had a series of away games.
América de Cali could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
America De Cali
12
8
3
1
24:7
17
27
5
Santa Fe
12
6
4
2
19:12
7
22
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Jean (G) 
Mina L. M. 
Murillo J. 
Valencia D. 
Bustos N. 
Repetto P. 
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