Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Canada	beIN Connect
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Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Lorient		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	8	Watch
	1.39	4.5	8
	1.38	4.3	7
	1.39	4.71	8.55
	1.39	4.56	7.93	Watch
	1.4	4.33	8
	1.4	4.7	8	Watch
	1.38	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	4.47 ↑ (4.23)	7.81 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
67.1%

Draw
20.9%

Amiens
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Lorient - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorient will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 21. Ponceau J. 22. Kroupi E. J. 10. Pagis P.	1. Gurtner R. (G) 14. Corchia S. 34. Bakayoko S. 13. Jaouab M. 19. Vita R. 8. Lobry V. 20. Chibozo A. 7. Leautey A. 27. Lutin R. 10. Kandil N. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
2. Igor Silva 77. Katseris P. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 5. Mendy F. 28. Soumano S. 27. Tosin A.	48. Ait Boudlal A. 39. Chabane A. 45. Fofana I. 18. Manitu M. . Mbaye M. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 46. Tincres J.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Leautey A. ⚽, Mafouta L. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Pagis P. ⚽, Abergel L. (A),
45', Kroupi E. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Corchia S. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
59', Lutin R. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
71', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
71', Pagis P. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
71', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
74', Jaouab M. 🟨,
76', Kandil N. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
80', Kalulu G. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
80', Avom A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Soumano S. ⚽, Tosin A. (A),
86', 3 - 1, Soumano S. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
88', Lobry V. ↓, Tincres J. ↑,
88', Leautey A. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 11).

Lorient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Amiens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amiens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lorient is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Tosin A. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Amiens: Monconduit T. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Red Star - Lorient	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Cannes - Lorient	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.01.25	Lorient - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Amiens - Annecy	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Martigues - Amiens	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Amiens - Bastia	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Amiens - Troyes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0

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