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Current Win Probability
Amiens 24.6%
Draw 27.6%
Toulouse 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
29.1%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.8%
23.3%
65.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Amiens - Toulouse Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 49.8% – 83.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Amiens has the most likely position - 18 (7.61%), has project points - 46, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (61.53%), has project points - 77, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (82%), has a good chance of win league (62%).
Recent matches Amiens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Toulouse is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Amiens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Toulouse is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Watch
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