Match Info

Date: 27 September 2021, Monday


	Toulouse		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.53	3.85	6.1	Watch
	1.49	4	6
	1.55	4.13	6.75
	1.47	3.9	7	Watch
	1.52	4.3	6.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)	6.31 ↓ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
62%

Draw
23.2%

Caen
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

19.9%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	3.3%	5.5%

Toulouse - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (83 of 91 users predict this - 91.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.39% – 97.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (74.31%), has project points - 82, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (90%), has a good chance of win league (74%).

Caen has the most likely position - 16 (7.52%), has project points - 46, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Toulouse is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Toulouse to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
21.09.21	Dunkerque - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Toulouse - Grenoble	4:1 ✺
13.09.21	Le Havre - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Toulouse - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Dijon - Toulouse	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
21.09.21	Caen - Dijon	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Bastia - Caen	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Caen - Pau	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Nîmes - Caen	0:0 ✺
25.08.21	Ajaccio - Caen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.05.21	Toulouse - Caen	3:0
11.01.21	Caen - Toulouse	2:2
French Ligue 1
24.02.19	Toulouse - Caen	1:1
18.12.18	Caen - Toulouse	2:1
25.04.18	Caen - Toulouse	0:0
09.12.17	Toulouse - Caen	2:0
06.05.17	Toulouse - Caen	0:1

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