Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Amorebieta		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.2	2.95	3.7	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.5
	2.28	3.2	3.61
				Watch
	2.22	3.13	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.63)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	3.53 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
43%

Draw
30.4%

Ibiza
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

32.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amorebieta - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 21 (38.41%), has project points - 39, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Ibiza has the most likely position - 13 (10.98%), has project points - 56, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, small importance 16, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Amorebieta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
25.03.22	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Eibar - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Amorebieta - Málaga	1:2 ✺
27.02.22	Valladolid - Amorebieta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.22	Ibiza - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
19.03.22	Girona - Ibiza	5:1 ✺
12.03.22	Ibiza - Leganés	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Ibiza - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.09.21	Ibiza - Amorebieta	1:1

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