Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 35

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Amorebieta		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3
	2.35	2.87	2.87
	2.51	2.88	3.21
	2.36	3.13	3.02
	2.4	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.02)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.99 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
38.6%

Draw
30.8%

Real Murcia
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

30.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amorebieta - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Amorebieta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Murcia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.04.23	Calahorra - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	La Nucía - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Amorebieta - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.04.23	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Osasuna B - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Real Murcia - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Real Murcia	1:5 ✺
02.04.23	Real Murcia - Cornellà	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.01.23	Real Murcia - Amorebieta	0:0

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