Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Brusque		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4.1	Watch
	2	2.9	3.9
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.11	3.02	4.4
	2.05	2.96	4.18	Watch
	2.05	3	3.9
	2.05	3.04	4.04	Watch
	2.05	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.24)	3 ↓ (3.05)	4.07 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
45.7%

Draw
31.2%

Botafogo SP
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Brusque - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brusque: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Georgemy (G) 30. Lorran 3. Ianson 4. Wallace (C) 21. Luiz Henrique 27. Diego Mathias 33. Madison 28. Paulinho 10. Dentinho 9. Pollero R. 14. Gonzalez A.	1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Ericson 3. Raphael 4. Bernardo Schappo (C) 6. Patrick Brey 11. Jonas Toro 8. Gustavo Bochecha 5. Carlos Manuel 7. Abdulai S. 9. Alexandre Jesus 10. Victor Andrade
Substitutes
22. Cristovam 11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 2. Everton Alemao 12. Gabriel Pinheiro 17. Guilherme Queiroz 8. Jhemerson 18. Keke 26. Marcelo Nunes 31. Matheus Silva (G) 16. Torres J.	17. Alex Sandro 19. Bruno Marques 13. Fabio Sanches 18. Fillipe Soutto 15. Joao Costa 20. Luquinha 12. Michael (G) 16. Ronald Camarao 21. Thassio 14. Wallison
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Madison 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diego Mathias ↓, Keke ↑,
46', Madison ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
57', Raphael 🟨,
58', Lorran ↓, Cristovam ↑,
60', Paulinho 🟨,
60', Jonas Toro ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
71', Victor Andrade ↓, Bruno Marques ↑,
72', Luiz Henrique ↓, Torres J. ↑,
80', Paulinho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
82', Abdulai S. ↓, Joao Costa ↑,
82', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Luquinha ↑,
89', Wallace 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Patrick Brey ⚽,
90+5', Dentinho 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 16).

Brusque is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brusque will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brusque: Alex Ruan (Injury) Cristovam (Injury) Mauricio Ribeiro (Injury) Neto (Injury)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Felipinho (Injury) Joao Carlos (Injury) Maciel L. (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury) Pedro Costa (Injury) Robinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Brusque: Osman (Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Willian Gabriel (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Ponte Preta - Brusque	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Brusque - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Brusque - Ituano	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Avaí - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWT
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Amazonas - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Botafogo SP - Ituano	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
09.10.24	Botafogo SP - Guarani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.07.24	Botafogo SP - Brusque	2:2

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