Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 30

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	América Mineiro		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.52	3.6	2.84
	2.39	3.49	3.09
	2.45	3.2	2.75
	2.3	3.44	2.97	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.96 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
40.3%

Draw
27.7%

Grêmio
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

América Mineiro - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jori (G) 75. Rodriguinho 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Iago Maidana 22. Danilo Avelar 6. Marlon 16. Ale 8. Juninho (C) 5. Emmanuel Martinez 10. Martin Benitez 17. Gonzalo Mastriani	12. Gabriel Grando (G) 18. Joao Pedro 15. Bruno Uvini 34. Bruno Alves 6. Reinaldo 23. Pepe 20. Villasanti M. 19. Cristaldo F. 13. Everton Galdino 9. Suarez L. (C) 22. Besozzi L.
Substitutes
44. Adyson 93. Aguerre W. (G) 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 80. Cazares 18. Cesar J. 33. Eder Ferreira 37. Everaldo 11. Felipe Azevedo 36. Mateus Henrique 23. Mendez J. 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 9. Wellington Paulista	77. Andre 49. Araujo J. 31. Caique (G) 2. Fabio 10. Ferreira 11. Gomes G. 48. Josue S. 7. Luan 36. Nata 3. Pedro Geromel 32. Ribeiro N. 51. Wesley
Coaches
Bustos F.	Renato Portaluppi

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently América MG have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in América MG: Rodrigo Varanda (Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Carballo F. (Injury) Cuiabano (Injury) Ely R. (Injury) Felipe Scheibig (Injury) Mila (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches América MG won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
25.10.23	Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Corinthians - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	América Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Fortaleza - América Mineiro	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLLT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
25.10.23	Grêmio - Flamengo	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	São Paulo - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
18.10.23	Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Internacional RS - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
30.09.23	Fortaleza - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.06.23	Grêmio - América Mineiro	3:1
13.11.21	América Mineiro - Grêmio	3:1
24.07.21	Grêmio - América Mineiro	1:1
20.10.18	América Mineiro - Grêmio	1:1
10.06.18	Grêmio - América Mineiro	1:0
Brazilian Primeira Liga
05.04.17	Grêmio - América Mineiro	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.16	Grêmio - América Mineiro	3:0

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