Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	América Mineiro		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.93	3.4	4
	1.94	3.42	4.16
	1.85	3.25	3.9
	1.88	3.54	4.1	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.29)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	4.02 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
49.2%

Draw
27.5%

Millonarios
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millonarios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

América Mineiro - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 36. Mateus Henrique 3. Iago Maidana 18. Cesar J. 6. Marlon 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 37. Everaldo 8. Juninho (C) 16. Ale 99. Aloisio 9. Wellington Paulista	31. Montero A. (G) 13. Perlaza E. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 4. Vargas J. P. (C) 3. Bertel O. 8. Giraldo D. 5. Vasquez L. 34. Cortes O. 10. Catano D. 35. Brochero R. 25. Paredes Bustamante L. A.
Substitutes
70. Barcelos R. 5. Emmanuel Martinez 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 19. Henrique Almeida 12. Jory (G) 27. Mateus Goncalves 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 78. Renato Marques 65. Rodrigo Varanda 75. Rodriguinho 4. Wanderson	22. Alba I. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 15. Hernandez E. 1. Moreno J. (G) 32. Moreno Robles K. E. 21. Pereira J. 7. Quinones Y. 9. Torres J. 6. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 28. Vega S.
Coaches
Mancini V.	Gamero A.

Preview

Recent matches América MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Millonarios in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	3:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.05.23	Botafogo RJ - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	América Mineiro - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	América Mineiro - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
03.06.23	Millonarios - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	América de Cali - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Millonarios - América Mineiro	1:1

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