Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Mola
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	América de Cali		Bahia

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.98	2.82	2.58	Watch
	3.14	2.95	2.66
	3.17	2.76	2.55	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	3.11	2.85	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.54)	2.88 ↓ (3.07)	2.58 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
31.1%

Draw
32.5%

Bahia
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

31.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Cali's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

América de Cali - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - América de Cali (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 1 - 50%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Soto J. (G) 2. Bocanegra D. 6. Tovar C. 24. Pestana J. 14. Mina D. 10. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 21. Navarro S. 7. Barrios C. 9. Ramos L. 11. Murillo J.	22. Marcos Felipe (G) 13. Arias S. 33. David Duarte 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 15. Michel Araujo 19. Caio Alexandre (C) 6. Jean Lucas 8. Cauly 7. Ademir 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
31. Bertel O. 8. Borrero D. 36. Garces Y. 77. Gonzalez K. 22. Holgado R. 17. Lucumi J. 4. Mosquera A. 19. Paz L. 27. Silva S. (G) 47. Sinisterra A. (G)	3. Gabriel Xavier 2. Gilberto 25. Iago Borduchi 68. Jota 37. Kayky 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Rodrigo 17. Rodriguez L. 96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 70. Vitinho 12. Willian Jose 66. Ze Guilherme
Coaches
Raimondi D. G.	Mucke R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Murillo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ademir ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
46', Luciano Juba ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
50', Pestana J. 🟨,
67', Cauly ↓, Kayky ↑,
70', Navarro S. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
76', Barrios C. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
77', Murillo J. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
80', Ramos L. 🟨,
85', Michel Araujo ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
85', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
90+2', Tovar C. ↓, Mosquera A. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
90+3', Ramos L. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
90+5', Kayky 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Garces Y. ⚽,
90+7', Garces Y. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, América de Cali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bahia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

América de Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, América de Cali won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Copa Sudamericana
15.07.25	Bahia - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.07.25	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
19.06.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWL
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
19.07.25	Fortaleza - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.07.25	Bahia - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.07.25	Bahia - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Bahia - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.06.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
15.07.25	Bahia - América de Cali	0:0

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