Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	BT Sport


	AZ Alkmaar		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45
	3	3.1	2.4
	2.95	3.3	2.4
	3.05	3.1	2.45
	3.09	3.18	2.53
	2.94	3.2	2.47
	3.1	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.76)	3.17 ↓ (3.51)	2.46 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
31.3%

Draw
30%

Lazio
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	39.5%	32.6%

AZ Alkmaar - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 39.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 54.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (75%), a chance of semis (39%), a chance of final (18%), a small chance of win league (8%).

Lazio has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (25%), a small chance of semis (15%), a small chance of final (8%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 65, very big importance 100, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

AZ is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lazio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in AZ: Bazoer R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Immobile C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Dekker M. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Hip Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) de Wit D. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
11.03.23	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.03.23	Lazio - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
03.03.23	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
11.03.23	Bologna - Lazio	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.03.23	Lazio - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.03.23	Napoli - Lazio	0:1 ✺
27.02.23	Lazio - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	CFR Cluj - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.03.23	Lazio - AZ Alkmaar	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	✺
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
01.11.26	Lazio - Cagliari	✺

AZ Alkmaar - Lazio