The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 31.3%
Draw 30%
Lazio 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
26.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
27.7%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.9%
39.5%
32.6%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 39.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 54.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (75%), a chance of semis (39%), a chance of final (18%), a small chance of win league (8%).
Lazio has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (25%), a small chance of semis (15%), a small chance of final (8%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality65, very big importance100, big match rating82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
AZ is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Lazio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in AZ: Bazoer R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lazio: Immobile C.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Dekker M.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Leg Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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