Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: SOCAR Polymer Arena (Sumqayit)

Referee: Ahmadov A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Araz Naxçıvan		Zira

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.41	2.02
	3.57	3.27	1.99	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.55	3.32	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (4.07)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)	1.98 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araz Naxçıvan
26.5%

Draw
27.8%

Zira
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

28.9%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

28.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Araz Naxçıvan - Zira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Ahmadli T. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 24. Ahmadzada M. 6. Andrade P. 77. Bruno Franco 26. Buludov O. 19. Cohen B. 14. Isgandarov U. 4. Mammadov R. 10. Santos F. 11. Simakala B.	13. Bayramov A. (G) 70. Alasgarov N. 14. Alicanov E. 8. Ibrahimli I. 93. Konate B. 6. Kuliyev E. 7. Muradov R. 5. Mutsinzi A. 29. Nuriyev C. 4. Ruan Renato (C) 9. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
12. Avram C. (G) 70. Boli C. 33. Cafarov E. 8. Diniyev C. 86. Piriyev I. 16. Ramon Machado	19. Abdullazada R. 26. Acka S. 32. Aliyev Q. 22. Aydin E. 17. Gomis I. 30. Guima 11. Martins Junior 41. Nazirov A. (G) 73. Nuriyev A. 10. Papunashvili G. 97. Tiago Silva (G)
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Andrade P. ⚽,
18', Mammadov R. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Santos F. ⚽,
32', Ruan Renato 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Konate B. 🟨,
58', Konate B. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
58', Alasgarov N. ↓, Martins Junior ↑,
58', Kuliyev E. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
68', Muradov R. ↓, Aliyev Q. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Ruan Renato ⚽,
70', Simakala B. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
70', Cohen B. ↓, Piriyev I. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Ramon Machado ⚽,
76', Volkovi D. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
78', Buludov O. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Martins Junior ⚽,
90+9', Martins Junior (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 2.

Araz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zira's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zira might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Araz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
12	Araz	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
13.05.26	Sabah - Zira	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
08.05.26	İmişli - Zira	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Zira - Gabala	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
27.02.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	0:1
19.08.25	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1
25.05.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	0:1
Azerbaijan Cup
28.02.25	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	0:2
06.02.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	1:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.01.25	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	1:0
06.11.24	Zira - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1

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