The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Johnstone 60.2%
Draw 23.5%
Ayr United 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
23.7%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
24.3%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
St. Johnstone - Ayr United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 15. Baird J. 3. Diabate C. 14. Foulds M. 42. McAlear R. 7. Holt J. (C) 11. Stanton S. 10. Gullan J. 24. McPake J. 9. Fowler J.
31. Thompson M. (G) 20. King L. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 2. McAllister N. 8. Dempsey B. (C) 6. Bannigan S. 16. Summers B. 3. Dick L. 22. McKenzie M. 17. Bonnar J.
Substitutes
27. Agyeman A. 35. Forrester A. 21. Fotheringham K. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 18. Paton R. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T. 2. Tumilty R.
55. Finney G. 18. Hislop J. 29. McRoberts L. 38. Russell L. (G) 12. Turley F. 4. Want S.
Coaches
Valakari S.
Brown S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, McAlear R. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Dick L. ⚽, Dempsey B. (A),
31', Dempsey B. 🟨,
33', Summers B. 🟨,
37', Stanton S. 🟨,
38', McPake J. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Diabate C. ⚽, Gullan J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Gullan J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
54', McAllister N. 🟨,
59', McAllister N. ↓, Finney G. ↑,
64', Smith L. ↓, Forrester A. ↑,
71', Fowler J. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
75', Bonnar J. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Paton R. ⚽,
88', McKenzie M. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
88', Summers B. ↓, Turley F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Johnstone is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now