Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Pontevedra		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.75
	1.95	3.05	3.95
	1.59	3.69	5.97
	1.72	2.82	7.09	Watch
	1.94	3.08	4.18
	1.9	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)	3.24 ↑ (3.17)	5.16 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
52.8%

Draw
29%

Osasuna B
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Pontevedra - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marqueta R. (G) 4. Bosch M. 19. Garay B. 23. Montoro A. 2. Eimil V. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 6. Ribeiro A. 10. Pino Y. 24. Rodriguez T. 9. Selma D. 8. Abelenda B.	1. Stamatakis D. (G) 5. Santos U. 2. Arguibide I. 23. Serrano M. 3. Jimenez A. 9. Gonzalez D. 14. Garcia J. 22. Larrion A. 6. Echegoyen M. 11. Pedroarena M. 17. Arroyo R.
Substitutes
22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 5. Conesa N. 11. Cuesta M. 20. Denia M. 3. Exposito A. 30. Gil R. 17. Macias L. 32. Mendez I. 14. Resende J. 1. Sousa E. (G) 16. Vidorreta A.	29. Alonso A. 30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 16. Auria M. 19. Bonel A. 7. Lumbreras C. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Santos U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', Selma D. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Pedroarena M. ⚽,
68', Larrion A. ↓, Anso M. ↑,
70', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cuesta M. ↑,
71', Bosch M. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
73', Anso M. 🟨,
74', Garcia J. 🟨,
77', Gonzalez D. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
77', Pedroarena M. ↓, Bonel A. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,
84', Eimil V. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
84', Garay B. ↓, Vidorreta A. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Resende J. ⚽,
90', Garcia J. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
90', Arroyo R. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Vidorreta A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Pontevedra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Osasuna B - the odds 3.87 are the expected chance of winning is 23.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ourense CF - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pontevedra - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Osasuna B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Real Avilés - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.17	Osasuna B - Pontevedra	2:1
30.10.16	Pontevedra - Osasuna B	3:1

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