Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Arenteiro		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.87	3.4	4
	1.86	3.42	4.23
	1.83	3.36	4.07	Watch
	1.81	3.38	4.27
	1.87	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)	3.37 ↓ (3.61)	4.04 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
50%

Draw
27.3%

Real Unión de Irun
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 17. Pascu 4. Moreno J. 20. Berardozzi T. 22. Sanchez J. 7. Ferreiro D. 6. Prendes M. 8. Solar M. 19. Aguado T. 18. Rodriguez E. 11. Gomez D.	13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Olaortua I. 24. Munroe F. 7. Aranzabe A. 22. Garrido D. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Rivero Q. 20. Sergio Benito 11. Obieta K.
Substitutes
21. Baselga M. 14. Cruz A. 23. Dias J. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 10. Marquitos 3. Munoz I. 16. Rivelott Curro 5. Rodriguez T.	9. Benito A. 8. Bilbao I. 17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. 19. Eimil V. 18. Lozano A. 3. Marquez J. 25. Perez C. (G) 6. Quintana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Santos S. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Ferreiro D. ⚽,
14', Munroe F. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Pascu ⚽,
39', Rivero Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Berardozzi T. ⚽,
62', Olaortua I. ↓, Quintana A. ↑,
62', Garrido D. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
72', Sanchez J. 🟨,
73', Sanchez J. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
73', Aguado T. ↓, Baselga M. ↑,
77', Ferreiro D. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
78', Obieta K. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
81', Solar M. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
81', Gomez D. ↓, Marquitos ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Arenteiro is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arenteiro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arenteiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Arenteiro - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Arenteiro - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Lugo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Arenteiro - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.24	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:2
16.09.23	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:3
Spanish Copa Federacion
19.10.22	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:0

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