Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pianese		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	2.88	2.68	Watch
	2.77	2.85	2.88
	2.63	2.94	2.73	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.6
	2.64	2.73	2.73	Watch
	2.62	2.83	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)	2.83 ↓ (3.01)	2.75 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
34.3%

Draw
32.4%

Vis Pesaro
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Pianese - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vis Pesaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 15. Gorelli M. 6. Amey W. 16. Chesti F. 19. Sussi C. 21. Tirelli M. 30. Proietto F. (C) 27. Bertini M. 77. Martey C. 14. Sodero A. 29. Fabrizi L.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 3. Zoia R. 15. Ceccacci M. 13. Primasso A. 77. Durmush M. 28. Machin J. 17. Paganini L. 21. Vezzoni F. 10. Di Paola M. 20. Giovannini R. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 33. Coccia L. 4. Colombo M. 13. Ercolani L. 11. Ianesi S. 47. Jasharovski A. 12. Nespola M. (G) 70. Nicastro M. 7. Peli L. 24. Reali A. (G) 8. Simeoni L.	63. Barranco 27. Bastianelli R. 24. Berengo N. 6. Di Renzo G. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 55. Mariani E. 2. Piras M. 7. Pucciarelli M. 70. Rizza A. 11. Stabile D. P. 99. Ventre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Gorelli M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Martey C. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Vezzoni F. ⚽,
41', Martey C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Tirelli M. ↓, Bellini L. ↑,
62', Nicastro F. 🟨,
63', Sodero A. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
64', Martey C. ↓, Coccia L. ↑,
65', Di Paola M. ↓, Pucciarelli M. ↑,
66', Nicastro F. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
66', Bertini M. 🟨,
79', Paganini L. ↓, Barranco G. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Stabile D. P. ⚽,
89', Bellini L. 🟨,
90+2', Bellini L. 🟨,
90+3', Proietto F. ↓, Ianesi S. ↑,
90+3', Chesti F. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
90+3', Machin J. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Pianese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vis Pesaro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vis Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Pianese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Sambenedettese - Pianese	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Pianese - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Carpi - Pianese	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pianese - Ascoli	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTWT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Livorno - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
15.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Pianese	0:0
22.03.25	Vis Pesaro - Pianese	2:0
10.11.24	Pianese - Vis Pesaro	2:0

Pianese - Vis Pesaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide