Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Arouca		Feirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.35	4.25
	1.95	3.15	3.7
	1.95	3.39	4.16
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.94	3.38	3.86	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arouca
47.8%

Draw
28.4%

Feirense
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	10.7%	7.1%

Arouca - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: Arouca will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.

Arouca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Feirense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arouca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arouca won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
12.11.22	Arouca - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.11.22	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.11.22	Vizela - Arouca	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Marítimo - Arouca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 LWWWT
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
12.11.22	Farense - Feirense	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Feirense - Nacional	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Porto B - Feirense	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Penafiel - Feirense	0:1 ✺
18.10.22	Feirense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.03.21	Arouca - Feirense	1:0
06.11.20	Feirense - Arouca	0:1
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Feirense - Arouca	3:1
08.09.18	Feirense - Arouca	1:0
Liga Portugal
15.04.17	Arouca - Feirense	2:0
04.12.16	Feirense - Arouca	0:2
Portuguese Liga 2
21.04.13	Arouca - Feirense	1:0

Upcoming Matches