Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Arouca		Leixões

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.2
	1.8	3.45	4.35
	1.81	3.4	3.95
	1.87	3.54	4.38
	1.78	3.2	4.4
	1.86	3.5	4.05	Watch
	1.84	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)	3.42 ↑ (3.19)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arouca
50.8%

Draw
27.1%

Leixões
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Arouca - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2.

Arouca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leixões in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leixões have a series of home games.

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Arouca won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Portuguese League Cup
18.11.22	Arouca - Feirense	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.11.22	Arouca - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.11.22	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.11.22	Vizela - Arouca	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 TLWWW
- Leixões SC
Portuguese League Cup
23.11.22	Leixões - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.11.22	Mafra - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Leixões - Farense	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.22	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.02.21	Leixões - Arouca	0:1
19.09.20	Arouca - Leixões	0:0
16.03.19	Leixões - Arouca	1:0
11.11.18	Arouca - Leixões	2:0
22.04.18	Leixões - Arouca	2:2
10.12.17	Arouca - Leixões	2:1
Taça de Portugal
18.10.15	Leixões - Arouca	1:2 ET

Upcoming Matches