Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arouca		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.30
	2.08	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.12	3.4	3.81
	2.15	3.3	3.52
	2.06	3.35	3.75
	2.06	3.5	3.86	Watch
	2.09	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.38)	3.34 ↑ (3.21)	3.64 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
45.5%

Draw
28.4%

Marítimo
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arouca's performance.

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marítimo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Arouca - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Marítimo will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Marítimo (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Marítimo (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arouca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arouca (votes: 3 - 50%). Marítimo (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 10. Gozalbez P. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.	13. Pastor A. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 4. Fernandes R. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 18. Danilovic V. 6. Andrade R. 35. Limbombe B. 14. Raphael Guzzo 10. Tejon M. 17. Butzke A.
Substitutes
37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 21. Flores M. 14. Lee H. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)	21. Alani I. 66. Ayuma I. 27. Bamba S. 68. Batista N. 90. Boakye M. 5. Nilton 16. Silva F. 22. Szalai G. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 30. Vieites F. (G)
Coaches
Seabra V.	Van der Gaag M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Tejon M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, van Ee E. ⚽, Trezza A. (A),
44', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Barbero I. ⚽, Gozalbez P. (A),
62', Limbombe B. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
70', Trezza A. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
70', Barbero I. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
76', Nandin D. 🟨,
77', Danilovic V. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
77', Butzke A. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
79', Gozalbez P. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
79', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
87', Djouahra N. ↓, Climent M. ↑,
87', Fernandes R. ↓, Nilton ↑,
90+2', Sanchez J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.

Arouca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	11:7	4	14
11	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Arouca: 0.56% Maritimo: 0.31%

Last Results with these Odds

Marítimo - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
23.08.26	Porto - Arouca	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Arouca - Moreirense	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Arouca - Tondela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLW
- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
22.08.26	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Famalicão - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Marítimo - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Marítimo - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.26	Marítimo - Chaves	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.04.23	Arouca - Marítimo	1:0
23.10.22	Marítimo - Arouca	1:1
14.02.22	Arouca - Marítimo	0:3
13.09.21	Marítimo - Arouca	2:2
Club Friendly
18.07.17	Marítimo - Arouca	1:0
Liga Portugal
19.03.17	Marítimo - Arouca	3:1
30.10.16	Arouca - Marítimo	1:0

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