Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Alverca		Arouca

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.18	3.25	3.25
	2.26	3.4	3.45
	2.24	3.17	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.25	3.39	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	3.31 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
42.8%

Draw
28.9%

Arouca
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Alverca - Arouca Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Mendes (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 26. Rhaldney 18. Lincoln 12. James I. 20. Figueiredo 10. Chiquinho 91. Sandro Lima	12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 4. Rocha M. 3. Fontan J. 25. Kuipers B. 21. Fukui T. 22. van Ee E. 10. Gozalbez P. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.
Substitutes
14. Baseya S. 25. Diarra S. 6. Gui D. 35. Kassary Z. 9. Marezi 1. Mateus Oliveira (G) 17. Moreira V. 11. Nuozzi C. 82. Spencer D.	44. Dante A. 46. Flores M. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 6. Monteiro D. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 19. Trezza A. 30. Vinarcik J. (G)
Coaches
Custodio	Seabra V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Naves ⚽, Touaizi N. (A),
35', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, van Ee E. ⚽, Kuipers B. (A),
59', Gozalbez P. ↓, Trezza A. ↑,
61', Fontan J. 🟨,
67', Rocha M. 🟨,
68', Gomez S. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
68', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
70', van Ee E. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Marezi ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
75', Lee H. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
76', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
82', Figueiredo ↓, Gui D. ↑,
83', Rocha M. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
83', Fukui T. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
89', Trezza A. 🟨,
90+1', Rhaldney ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
90+1', Chiquinho ↓, Spencer D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alverca could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Arouca: Nandin D. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Yellow Cards) Valido J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Injury) Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Martinez J. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Alverca - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
18.04.26	Nacional - Alverca	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Alverca - Casa Pia	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Rio Ave - Alverca	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Gil Vicente - Alverca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWLT
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
19.04.26	Arouca - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Braga - Arouca	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Arouca - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Moreirense - Arouca	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Arouca - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.12.25	Arouca - Alverca	1:0

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