Match Info

Primera B - Round 39

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		San Martín de Burzaco

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.75	6.00
	1.43	3.8	6.3	Watch
	1.49	3.81	6.6
	1.46	3.8	6.8	Watch
	1.4	3.7	6.45
	1.44	3.75	6.89
	1.43	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	6.46 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
62.3%

Draw
23.8%

San Martín de Burzaco
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).

In recent outings, Arsenal Sarandí has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

SM de Burzaco is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Arsenal Sarandí has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 20.09%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.26	Villa San Carlos - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Pilar - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW
- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Martín de Burzaco	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de Burzaco	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
31.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0

Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Burzaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide