Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Arsenal Sarandí		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.55	2.95	2.8
	2.4	2.95	2.95
	2.58	3.07	3.13
	2.75	3.1	2.62
	2.53	3.06	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.74)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.92 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
37%

Draw
30.9%

Newells Old Boys
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

21.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arsenal Sarandí - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Newell's Old Boys has the most likely position - 17 (10.21%), has project points - 29, has currently - 23, has not chance of win league.

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Newell's Old Boys is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newell's Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.11.21	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
30.10.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Aldosivi - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.10.21	Vélez Sársfield - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLLT
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.21	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
21.10.21	Newells Old Boys - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.01.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Newells Old Boys	1:1
27.01.18	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
08.04.17	Arsenal Sarandí - Newells Old Boys	0:1
13.04.15	Arsenal Sarandí - Newells Old Boys	3:0
24.11.14	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	2:4
04.05.14	Arsenal Sarandí - Newells Old Boys	3:2
24.11.13	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1

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