The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 34.3%
Draw 31.9%
Sarmiento de Junín 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
32.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
22.6%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arsenal Sarandí - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 26 and 16).
Arsenal Sarandí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sarmiento de Junín is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arsenal Sarandí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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