The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 21.6%
Draw 26.5%
CSKA Moscow 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.8%
26%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.9%
21.1%
65.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arsenal Tula - CSKA Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 8).
Arsenal has the most likely position - 16 (23.48%), has project points - 28, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
CSKA has the most likely position - 3 (15.25%), has project points - 51, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Arsenal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches CSKA is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match CSKA is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15-36.
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.
Watch
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