Match Info

Date: 22 July 2021, Thursday


	Astana		Aris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.7
	2.5	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.41
	2.75	2.86	2.43
	2.75	2.9	2.4
	2.75	3.18	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.34)	3.01 ↓ (3.09)	2.51 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
34%

Draw
30%

Aris
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

21%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astana's form might have worsened.

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	20%	22.9%

Astana - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Aris will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 40.7% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aris have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Cup
16.07.21	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
10.07.21	Kaisar - Astana	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.21	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
27.06.21	Kyzylzhar - Astana	3:2 ✺
22.06.21	Astana - Ordabasy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTWLL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly
21.07.21	Skra Częstochowa - Aris	0:2 ✺
14.07.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	3:0 ✺
14.07.21	Jagiellonia Białystok - Aris	1:1 ✺
07.07.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Aris	1:2 ✺
04.07.21	Aris - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWL

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