Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Sweden	Disney+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
World	Disney+


	Astana		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.95
	3.8	3.2	1.93
	4	3.4	1.95
	4.17	3.39	2.04
	3.94	3.45	1.92	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.07	3.42	2.01
	4	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.2)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
23.7%

Draw
27.6%

Vitoria Guimarães
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.4%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	11.4%	77.1%

Astana - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Guimarães will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 63.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 5. Kazukolovas K. 3. Kalaica B. 45. Amanovic A. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 7. Ebong M. 77. Gripshi N. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C. 28. Camara O.	14. Varela B. (C) 22. Costa A. 44. Fernandes J. 24. Borevkovic T. 2. Miguel Maga 10. Tiago Silva 6. Manu 17. Mendes J. 11. Kaio Cesar 7. Oliveira N. 77. Santos N.
Substitutes
11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 4. Bystrov M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 81. Karimov R. 8. Kuat I. 22. Marochkin A. 19. Osei B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.	18. Arcanjo T. 79. Bica 27. Charles Silva (G) 76. Gaspar B. 8. Handel T. 91. Jose Ribeiro (G) 13. Mendes J. 9. Ramirez J. 15. Rivas Viondi O. 20. Samu 28. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Babayan G.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Kalaica B. ⚽, Bartolec K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Tiago Silva 🟨,
64', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
64', Miguel Maga ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
64', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
64', Mendes J. ↓, Bica ↑,
77', Costa A. 🟨,
79', Tiago Silva ↓, Handel T. ↑,
79', Kaio Cesar ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
81', Ebong M. 🟨,
82', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
86', Gripshi N. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. ⚽, Arcanjo T. (A),
90', Condric J. 🟨,
90+2', Handel T. 🟨,
90+2', Ebong M. ↓, Marochkin A. ↑,
90+4', Bartolec K. 🟨,
90+4', Amanovic A. 🟨,
90+4', Mendes J. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Guimarães is a favorite.

There will not play in Guimarães: Fernandes J. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh League Cup
23.11.24	Zhenis - Astana	0:2 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.11.24	Astana - Zhetysu	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Paphos - Astana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.11.24	Tobol Kostanay - Astana	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Astana - Atyrau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Leiria	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.11.24	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

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