Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
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	RB Leipzig		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38
	3	3.3	2.35
	3.05	3.4	2.45	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.42
	2.97	3.35	2.53	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.38
	3.14	3.44	2.43
	3.05	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.59)	3.36 ↓ (3.59)	2.42 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
31.5%

Draw
28.7%

Aston Villa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.3%	21.7%

RB Leipzig - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 28.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 36.4% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gulacsi P. (G) 13. Seiwald N. 4. Orban W. (C) 3. Geertruida L. 39. Henrichs B. 18. Vermeeren A. 8. Haidara A. 7. Nusa A. 14. Baumgartner C. 30. Sesko B. 11. Openda L.	23. Martinez E. (G) 4. Konsa E. 3. Diego Carlos 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 8. Tielemans Y. 2. Cash M. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
19. Andre Silva 47. Gebel V. 38. Jatta N. 44. Kampl K. 16. Klostermann L. 31. Sakar F. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)	6. Barkley R. 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 9. Duran J. 18. Gauci J. (G) 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. 20. Nedeljkovic K. 25. Olsen R. (G) 24. Onana A. 19. Philogene J. 50. Swinkels S.
Coaches
Rose M.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, McGinn J. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Openda L. ⚽, Seiwald N. (A),
45', Digne L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Watkins O. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
46', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Duran J. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
62', 2 - 2, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Openda L. (A),
71', Cash M. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
76', McGinn J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
76', Sesko B. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
79', Diego Carlos 🟨,
81', Henrichs B. 🟨,
83', Tielemans Y. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
83', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
84', Vermeeren A. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Barkley R. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Lukeba C. (Yellow Cards) Ouedraogo A. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Ramsey J. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Inter Milan - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
07.12.24	Aston Villa - Southampton	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Aston Villa - Brentford	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Chelsea - Aston Villa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Aston Villa - Juventus	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
23.11.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.24	RB Leipzig - Aston Villa	2:0
03.08.19	RB Leipzig - Aston Villa	1:3

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