Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 3
Argentina	ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 12, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 6
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 9
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 16
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	On Golf, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app


	Aston Villa		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	6
	1.49	4.8	5.75
	1.48	4.9	6.3
	1.5	4.91	6.3
	1.48	4.98	6.32	Watch
	1.44	4.6	6
	1.51	5.06	6.29
	1.48	4.9	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	4.86 ↑ (4.17)	6.16 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
64.7%

Draw
19.7%

Celtic
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa's performance.

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	7.5%	7.5%

Aston Villa - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (78 of 92 users predict this - 84.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.44% – 92.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (C) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 26. Bogarde L. 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 8. Tielemans Y. 41. Ramsey J. 27. Rogers M. 31. Bailey L. 11. Watkins O.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 5. Scales L. 6. Trusty A. 3. Taylor G. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 10. Kuhn N. 9. Idah A. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun
Substitutes
9. Duran J. 22. Maatsen I. 7. McGinn J. 20. Nedeljkovic K. 25. Olsen R. (G) 66. Patterson T. 50. Swinkels S. 72. Young K. 48. Zych O. (G)	29. Bain S. (G) 28. Bernardo P. 55. Cummings D. 14. McCowan L. 37. Montgomery A. 47. Murray D. 17. Nawrocki M. 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G)
Coaches
Emery U.	Rodgers B.

Preview

Recent matches Aston Villa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celtic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Celtic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Onana A. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Holm O. T. (Calf Injury) Maeda D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Celtic: Forrest J. (Foot Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
26.01.25	Aston Villa - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Monaco - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
18.01.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
15.01.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.25	Aston Villa - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWW
- Celtic
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Celtic - Young Boys	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Celtic - Kilmarnock	2:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.25	Dundee - Celtic	3:3 ✺
11.01.25	Ross County - Celtic	1:4 ✺
08.01.25	Celtic - Dundee United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTWW

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