Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
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World	Sport 24


	Aston Villa		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.5
	1.95	3.6	3.75
	1.82	3.85	4.35
	1.79	3.95	4.7
	1.77	3.91	4.79	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.4
	1.79	3.89	4.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	3.8 ↑ (3.74)	4.44 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
53.2%

Draw
25.2%

West Ham United
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.2%	12.3%	10.5%

Aston Villa - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). West Ham will win (votes: 6 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 66.3% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 66.7%). West Ham (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - West Ham (3.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.27) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Aston Villa (2.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 7 - 58.3%). West Ham (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 6. Barkley R. 19. Sancho J. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 15. Mavropanos K. 4. Disasi A. 12. Diouf M. 28. Soucek T. 32. Potts F. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Bowen J. (C) 11. Castellanos T. 19. Pablo
Substitutes
18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 21. Douglas Luiz 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. 8. Tielemans Y.	23. Areola A. (G) 49. Herrick F. (G) 55. Kante M. 3. Kilman M. 27. Magassa S. 30. Scarles O. 17. Traore A. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
Emery U.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, McGinn J. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
45', Wan-Bissaka A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Potts F. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
46', Castellanos T. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
67', Sancho J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
67', McGinn J. ↓, Tielemans Y. ↑,
67', Barkley R. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Watkins O. ⚽,
77', Rogers M. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
83', Wan-Bissaka A. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
83', Soucek T. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
87', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in West Ham: Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Summerville C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.1:1.5).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4:9	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Aston Villa - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- West Ham United
English Premier League
14.03.26	West Ham United - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
09.03.26	West Ham United - Brentford	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Fulham - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Liverpool - West Ham United	5:2 ✺
21.02.26	West Ham United - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.12.25	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:3
26.01.25	Aston Villa - West Ham United	1:1
English FA Cup
10.01.25	Aston Villa - West Ham United	2:1
English Premier League
17.08.24	West Ham United - Aston Villa	1:2
17.03.24	West Ham United - Aston Villa	1:1
22.10.23	Aston Villa - West Ham United	4:1
12.03.23	West Ham United - Aston Villa	1:1

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