Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Voyo
Cameroon	21:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Cote D Ivoire	20:00	NCI
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	22:00	5 STARS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Kazakhstan	02:00	Q Sport
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	ESPN 5 Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 3, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	23:00	beIN Sports 4, Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	beIN Sports 4, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Daystar Pacific, Disney+


	Aston Villa		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.6	4.33	5
	1.75	4	4.55	Watch
	1.72	4.07	4.88
	1.72	4.07	4.84	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.74	4.15	4.87
	1.75	4	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	4.07 ↓ (4.4)	4.77 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
56.2%

Draw
23.6%

Club Brugge
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	5.4%	10.7%

Aston Villa - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 5. Mings T. 22. Maatsen I. 44. Kamara B. 8. Tielemans Y. 27. Rogers M. 7. McGinn J. (C) 9. Rashford M. 11. Watkins O.	22. Mignolet S. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 55. De Cuyper M. 15. Onyedika R. 30. Jashari A. 68. Talbi C. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 8. Tzolis C. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
21. Asensio M. 31. Bailey L. 26. Bogarde L. 12. Digne L. 3. Disasi A. 25. Olsen R. (G) 24. Onana A. 41. Ramsey J. 14. Torres P. 48. Zych O. (G)	84. Campbell S. 29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 19. Nilsson G. 2. Romero Z. 41. Siquet H. 21. Skoras M. 58. Spileers J. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.
Coaches
Emery U.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Sabbe K. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kamara B. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
46', Watkins O. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
58', Jutgla F. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
58', Jashari A. ↓, Nielsen C. ↑,
58', Talbi C. ↓, Skoras M. ↑,
58', Ordonez J. ↓, Romero Z. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
66', Mings T. ↓, Torres P. ↑,
66', Rogers M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
66', Tzolis C. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
70', Vanaken H. 🟨,
73', Cash M. ↓, Disasi A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.

Aston Villa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Brugge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Garcia A. (Inactive) Jimoh-Aloba J. (Inactive) Malen D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Brugge: Meijer B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Seys J. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Aston Villa to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
08.03.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Club Brugge - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.25	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.02.25	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
22.02.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.03.25	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Club Brugge - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.25	Gent - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Club Brugge - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.02.25	Atalanta - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Club Brugge - Aston Villa	1:3
06.11.24	Club Brugge - Aston Villa	1:0

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