What is the expert prediction for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?

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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, January 07, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Iceland	SÝN Sport 5
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 6, Canal+
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Palace TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Darts, Sky Sports F1, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Crystal Palace		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38
	2.9	3.4	2.37
	3.05	3.35	2.38
	3.11	3.35	2.34	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
	3.18	3.4	2.46	Watch
	3	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.59)	3.32 ↓ (3.49)	2.39 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
31.4%

Draw
28.7%

Aston Villa
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	12.5%	70.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 11 - 17.7%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 43 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 57.9% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Aston Villa (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Crystal Palace (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Crystal Palace (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (20 of 26 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Aston Villa (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 23. Canvot J. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 55. Devenny J. 20. Wharton A. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 11. Johnson B. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 3. Lindelof V. 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 8. Tielemans Y. 19. Sancho J. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
72. Benamar D. 44. Benitez W. (G) 73. Casey B. 86. Drakes-Thomas J. 60. King G. 26. Richards C. 42. Rodney K. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 16. Garcia A. 53. Hemmings G. 20. Jimoh-Aloba J. 22. Maatsen I. 17. Malen D. 14. Torres P.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Bizot M. ↑,
65', Sancho J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
67', Johnson B. 🟨,
73', McGinn J. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
73', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
81', Kamara B. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
83', Mitchell T. 🟨,
90', Devenny J. ↓, Sosa B. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4.

Crystal Palace has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aston Villa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Cardines R. (Muscle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kamada D. (Hamstring Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Munoz D. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (International duty)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Guessand E. (International duty) Onana A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Clyne N. (Muscle Injury) Lerma J. (Head Injury) Richards C. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Hamstring Injury) Torres P. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Crystal Palace - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Aston Villa - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
04.01.26	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Chelsea - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Aston Villa - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.08.25	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	0:3
English FA Cup
26.04.25	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	3:0
English Premier League
25.02.25	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	4:1
23.11.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	2:2
English League Cup
30.10.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	1:2
English Premier League
19.05.24	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	5:0
16.09.23	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	3:1

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