Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Selhurst Park (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	06:30	Stan Sport
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Azerbaijan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	16:30	Disney+
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:30	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
France	20:30	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	03:30	M Plus Live
Iceland	19:30	SÝN Sport 5
India	01:00	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Ireland	19:30	NOW
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	04:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:30	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 6, Canal+
Mexico	13:30	FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Myanmar	02:00	Canal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	01:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	20:30	SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Pakistan	00:30	ARY ZAP
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Poland	20:30	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Voyo
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
South Africa	21:30	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Tajikistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:30	AIS PLAY
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	NOW TV, Palace TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Darts, Sky Sports F1, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Uzbekistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
Vietnam	02:30	FPT Play


	Crystal Palace		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38
	2.9	3.4	2.37
	3.05	3.35	2.38
	3.11	3.35	2.34	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
	3.18	3.4	2.46	Watch
	3	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.59)	3.32 ↓ (3.49)	2.39 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
31.4%

Draw
28.7%

Aston Villa
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	12.5%	70.3%

Crystal Palace - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 11 - 17.7%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 43 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 57.9% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Aston Villa (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Crystal Palace (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Crystal Palace (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (20 of 26 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Aston Villa (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 23. Canvot J. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 55. Devenny J. 20. Wharton A. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 11. Johnson B. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 3. Lindelof V. 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 8. Tielemans Y. 19. Sancho J. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
72. Benamar D. 44. Benitez W. (G) 73. Casey B. 86. Drakes-Thomas J. 60. King G. 26. Richards C. 42. Rodney K. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 16. Garcia A. 53. Hemmings G. 20. Jimoh-Aloba J. 22. Maatsen I. 17. Malen D. 14. Torres P.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Bizot M. ↑,
65', Sancho J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
67', Johnson B. 🟨,
73', McGinn J. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
73', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
81', Kamara B. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
83', Mitchell T. 🟨,
90', Devenny J. ↓, Sosa B. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4.

Crystal Palace has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aston Villa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Cardines R. (Muscle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kamada D. (Hamstring Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Munoz D. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (International duty)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Guessand E. (International duty) Onana A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Clyne N. (Muscle Injury) Lerma J. (Head Injury) Richards C. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Hamstring Injury) Torres P. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11
17	Crystal Palace	8	2	1	5	9:19	-10	7

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.76% Crystal Palace: 0.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Crystal Palace - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
04.01.26	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Chelsea - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Aston Villa - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.08.25	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	0:3
English FA Cup
26.04.25	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	3:0
English Premier League
25.02.25	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	4:1
23.11.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	2:2
English League Cup
30.10.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	1:2
English Premier League
19.05.24	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	5:0
16.09.23	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	3:1

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