Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aston Villa		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.5	19
	1.13	9	23	Watch
	1.13	9.53	20.82
	1.13	8.94	19.3	Watch
	1.12	8.5	19
	1.14	9.19	22	Watch
	1.13	9	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.19)	8.81 ↑ (7)	20.87 ↑ (14.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
84.6%

Draw
10.8%

Cardiff City
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.9%

13.6%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Aston Villa - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 71.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 16. Garcia A. 4. Konsa E. 26. Bogarde L. 22. Maatsen I. 7. McGinn J. (C) 8. Tielemans Y. 31. Bailey L. 21. Asensio M. 9. Rashford M. 11. Watkins O.	1. Horvath E. (G) 2. Fish W. 4. Goutas D. 48. Lawlor D. 38. Ng P. 10. Ramsey A. (C) 27. Colwill R. 49. Giles L. 20. El Ghazi A. 16. Willock C. 47. Robinson C.
Substitutes
12. Digne L. 56. Jimoh-Aloba J. 44. Kamara B. 25. Olsen R. (G) 41. Ramsey J. 27. Rogers M. 45. Rowe T. 48. Zych O. (G)	45. Ashford C. 23. Bagan J. 39. Davies I. 15. Mannsverk S. 53. Nyakuhwa T. 11. O'Dowda C. 18. Robertson A. 22. Salech Y. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Emery U.	Riza O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
64', Giles L. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
65', Ramsey A. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
80', 2 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
81', Lawlor D. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
81', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
82', Watkins O. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
82', Asensio M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
82', Rashford M. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
83', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.

In this match Aston Villa is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Kamara B. (Injury) Onana A. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Muscle Injury) Daland J. (Calf Injury) Tanner O. (Foot Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
25.02.25	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
22.02.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Aston Villa - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Aston Villa - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
09.02.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTW
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
25.02.25	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cardiff City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Stoke City - Cardiff City	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.11.22	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	3:1
English League Championship
10.04.18	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	1:0
12.08.17	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	3:0
02.01.17	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	1:0
26.11.16	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	3:1
English Premier League
11.02.14	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	0:0
09.11.13	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	2:0

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