The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa 44.4%
Draw 27.8%
West Bromwich Albion 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
26.1%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
17.6%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.
West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Bromwich Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
11.4%
13.6%
Aston Villa - West Bromwich Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
88 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 66 - 75%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 12 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 66% – 84%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Championship).
Aston Villa has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
West Bromwich has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Aston Villa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches West Bromwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
West Bromwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Aston Villa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.
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