What is the expert prediction for Liverpool vs Aston Villa?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Liverpool vs Aston Villa. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, November 01, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Liverpool		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.5	4.5
	1.65	4.4	4.8
	1.55	4.6	5.7
	1.52	4.64	5.62	Watch
	1.7	4.4	5.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	4.51 ↓ (4.64)	5.13 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
59.8%

Draw
21.4%

Aston Villa
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

20.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

19%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	12.9%	13.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 100 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 73 - 73%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 14 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 64.3% – 81.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Aston Villa (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Aston Villa (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Liverpool (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (39 of 50 users predict this - 78%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 58 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 40 - 69%). Aston Villa (votes: 12 - 20.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 8.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Bradley C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 24. Onana A. 29. Guessand E. 27. Rogers M. 7. McGinn J. (C) 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 6. Kerkez M. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 41. Pecsi A. (G) 7. Wirtz F. 28. Woodman F. (G)	6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 62. Broggio B. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 17. Malen D. 5. Mings T. 19. Sancho J.
Coaches
Slot A.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Salah M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', van Dijk V. 🟨,
57', Cash M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Gravenberch R. ⚽, Mac Allister A. (A),
59', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
59', Guessand E. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
73', Onana A. 🟨,
74', Torres P. ↓, Mings T. ↑,
74', Watkins O. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
75', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
77', Ekitike H. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
80', Rogers M. 🟨,
87', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
87', Emery U. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Recent form of Liverpool has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aston Villa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.

There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Jones C. (Knock) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Nallo A. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Injury) Elliott H. (Loan agreement) Garcia A. (Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Gravenberch R. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:30. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

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Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.58%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English League Cup
29.10.25	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Brentford - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Liverpool	1:5 ✺
English Premier League
19.10.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
26.10.25	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Aston Villa - Burnley	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Feyenoord - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
19.02.25	Aston Villa - Liverpool	2:2
09.11.24	Liverpool - Aston Villa	2:0
13.05.24	Aston Villa - Liverpool	3:3
03.09.23	Liverpool - Aston Villa	3:0
20.05.23	Liverpool - Aston Villa	1:1
26.12.22	Aston Villa - Liverpool	1:3
10.05.22	Aston Villa - Liverpool	1:2

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