Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	20:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	22:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	04:00	Stan Sport
Austria	20:00	Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	22:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	00:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	20:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	14:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	15:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	02:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Ecuador	13:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:00	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France
Georgia	22:00	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	21:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	02:00	M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	18:00	SÝN, SÝN Sport
India	23:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	01:00	Vidio
Israel	21:00	Sport 2
Italy	20:00	Sky Sport Max
Japan	03:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	21:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	02:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	23:00	Medianet
Malta	20:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	12:00	FOX One, Tubi TV
Moldova	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Myanmar	00:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	23:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	06:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	19:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	23:00	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	14:00	ESPN
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Philippines	02:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	20:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	19:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:00	Voyo
Serbia	20:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	02:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	20:00	Voyo
Slovenia	20:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	20:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	03:00	Coupang Play
Spain	20:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	20:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	23:00	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	01:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5
Turkmenistan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	19:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	14:00	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	01:00	FPT Play


	Aston Villa		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.3
	2.1	3.6	3.3
	2.15	3.7	3.3
	2.2	3.75	3.36
	2.15	3.83	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.25
	2.2	3.72	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)	3.32 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
44.9%

Draw
26.2%

Tottenham Hotspur
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

24.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	23.8%	33.3%

Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 18 - 42.9%). Tottenham will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 27.9% – 57.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Aston Villa (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Tottenham (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tottenham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tottenham (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. (C) 22. Maatsen I. 26. Bogarde L. 8. Tielemans Y. 19. Sancho J. 6. Barkley R. 27. Rogers M. 18. Abraham T.	31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 13. Udogie D. 30. Bentancur R. 6. Palhinha J. 39. Kolo Muani R. 22. Gallagher C. 11. Tel M. 9. Richarlison
Substitutes
31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 10. Buendia E. 12. Digne L. 21. Douglas Luiz 16. Garcia A. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 11. Watkins O.	40. Austin B. (G) 15. Bergvall L. 8. Bissouma Y. 3. Dragusin R. 14. Gray A. 10. Maddison J. 29. Sarr P. M. 38. Souza 24. Spence D.
Coaches
Emery U.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Gallagher C. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Richarlison ⚽, Tel M. (A),
27', Kolo Muani R. 🟨,
45', Bentancur R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Barkley R. 🟨,
60', Abraham T. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
66', Bentancur R. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
67', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
73', Tel M. 🟨,
77', Rogers M. 🟨,
81', Danso K. 🟨,
85', Barkley R. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
85', Sancho J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
90+1', Richarlison ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
90+1', Tel M. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
90+6', Gallagher C. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Buendia E. ⚽, Cash M. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aston Villa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Onana A. (Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Knee Injury) Solanke D. (Injury) Vicario G. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Sarr P. M. (Shoulder Injury) Udogie D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11
14	Tottenham	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.89% Aston Villa: 0.76%

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 29.57%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.04.26	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Aston Villa - Sunderland	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Aston Villa - Bologna	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWT
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
25.04.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2
English Premier League
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2
16.05.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0
English FA Cup
09.02.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1
English Premier League
03.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	4:1
10.03.24	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4
26.11.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2

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