Match Info

Championship - Round 26

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.3	2.32	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
	2.92	3.36	2.43	Watch
	2.77	3.42	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.81	3.42	2.62	Watch
	2.85	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.41)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)	2.5 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
33.9%

Draw
28.3%

West Bromwich Albion
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester City's form might have worsened.

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Bromwich Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.5%	20.3%	10.2%

Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 41 - 69.5%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 6 - 10.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 57.8% – 81.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 9 - 50%). West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Leicester (2.02) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 14 - 58.3%). West Bromwich (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 5. Okoli C. 4. Nelson B. 17. Choudhury H. 6. James J. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 28. Monga J. 9. Ayew J.	20. Griffiths J. (G) 6. Campbell G. 3. Phillips N. 2. Mepham C. 4. Styles C. 8. Molumby J. 27. Mowatt A. (C) 21. Price I. 11. Johnston M. 10. Grant K. 19. Heggebo A.
Substitutes
56. Aluko O. 31. Begovic A. (G) 20. Daka P. 27. Marcal W. 10. Mavididi S. 25. Page L. 33. Thomas L. 39. Thomas S. 23. Vestergaard J.	5. Bielik K. 37. Bostock O. 17. Diakite O. 12. Dike D. 14. Gilchrist A. 22. Iling Junior S. 9. Maja J. 29. Taylor C. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Mason R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Ayew J. ⚽, James J. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Grant K. ⚽, Mowatt A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Page L. ↑,
70', Monga J. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
72', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
77', Choudhury H. 🟨,
79', Price I. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
79', Mowatt A. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
80', Ayew J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Fatawu I. ⚽, Mavididi S. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knock) Soumare B. (Knee Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in West Bromwich: Wallace J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Ramsey A. (Injury) Winks H. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Brom: 2.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10:9	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
01.01.26	Sheffield United - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
29.12.25	Leicester City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leicester City - Watford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
01.01.26	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hull City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:1
20.04.24	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
02.12.23	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:2
English Premier League
22.04.21	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	3:0
13.09.20	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	0:3
10.03.18	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:4
16.10.17	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	1:1

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