Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 29 December 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Atalanta		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.6	5.25
	1.42	4.75	5.25
	1.44	4.9	5.4
	1.4	4.86	5.76
	1.42	4.33	5.8
	1.42	5	6.05	Watch
	1.45	4.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	4.76 ↑ (4.03)	5.56 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
64.3%

Draw
19.2%

AZ Alkmaar
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Atalanta - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Atalanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AZ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Club Friendly
23.12.22	Betis - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
16.12.22	Nice - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
09.12.22	Atalanta - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.11.22	Atalanta - Inter Milan	2:3 ✺
09.11.22	Lecce - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLL
- AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Valencia - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.11.22	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.11.22	AZ Alkmaar - Dnipro-1	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
30.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
02.11.26	Atalanta - Parma	✺
29.10.26	Fiorentina - Atalanta	✺
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	✺

Atalanta - AZ Alkmaar