Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Ajax		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.9
	2.15	3.9	3
	2.25	4.15	3.15
	2.16	4	2.95
	2.23	4.01	3.08
	2.2	3.8	3
	2.24	3.94	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)	3.97 ↑ (3.9)	3.02 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
43.9%

Draw
24.3%

Atalanta
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

17.6%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	11.6%	11.6%

Ajax - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 172 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 132 - 76.7%). Atalanta will win (votes: 20 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 70.4% – 83%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Ajax has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Atalanta has a good chance of round of 16 (51%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atalanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ajax will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
05.12.20	Ajax - Twente	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.12.20	Liverpool - Ajax	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.11.20	Emmen - Ajax	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Ajax - Midtjylland	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.20	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW
- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
01.12.20	Atalanta - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.11.20	Atalanta - Verona	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Liverpool - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.11.20	Spezia - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Atalanta - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Atalanta - Ajax	2:2

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