Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno


	Catania		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.5	4.8
	1.62	3.6	4.95
	1.68	3.5	5.01
	1.61	3.56	5.37	Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.8
	1.65	3.71	5.15
	1.63	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	3.52 ↓ (4.21)	5.08 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
56.1%

Draw
25.9%

Atalanta U23
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catania's form might have worsened.

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Catania - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 6. Allegretto A. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 20. Donnarumma D. 7. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 32. Forte F.	95. Vismara P. (G) 18. Guerini A. 6. Comi P. 4. Berto G. 25. Steffanoni F. 47. Levak S. 5. Panada S. (C) 24. Ghislandi D. 10. Cortinovis A. 99. Vavassori D. 14. Cisse M.
Substitutes
1. Bethers K. (G) 18. Caturano S. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 28. Doni S. 37. Forti C. 77. Martic M. 21. Quiroz G. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.	66. Bergonzi F. 58. Bonanomi A. 11. Cassa F. 68. Fiogbe C. 61. Idele J. 7. Manzoni A. 19. Obric R. 2. Plaia M. 21. Riccio L. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 17. Torriani A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Lunetta G. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Jimenez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cortinovis A. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
56', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
64', Lunetta G. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
64', Forte F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Jimenez K. ⚽,
74', Quaini A. 🟨,
74', Guerini A. ↓, Obric R. ↑,
75', Cisse M. ↓, Fiogbe C. ↑,
78', Quaini A. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
84', Comi P. 🟨,
84', Vavassori D. ↓, Riccio L. ↑,
85', Allegretto A. ↓, Raimo A. ↑,
90+3', Pieraccini S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 12).

Catania is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atalanta U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Catania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Catania is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catania won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Catania won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Catania - Crotone	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Picerno - Catania	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Catania - Latina	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Casarano - Catania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWL
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Monopoli - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Atalanta U23	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.05.24	Catania - Atalanta U23	0:1
14.05.24	Atalanta U23 - Catania	0:1

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