Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday


	Atenas de San Carlos		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.7
	2.5	2.85	2.8
	2.55	2.85	2.75
	2.79	2.54	3.06
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.57	2.91	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)	2.78 ↓ (3.2)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
35.1%

Draw
32.7%

Cerro
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Atenas de San Carlos - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atenas will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atenas won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atenas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atenas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Atenas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.06.22	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
10.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	1:0 ✺
05.06.22	Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3 ✺
29.05.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWL
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.06.22	Progreso - Cerro	0:0 ✺
12.06.22	Cerro - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.06.22	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
24.05.22	Villa Española - Cerro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.04.22	Cerro - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0
04.10.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerro	1:2
25.06.21	Cerro - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.09.18	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerro	0:1
27.03.18	Cerro - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0
26.04.15	Cerro - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1
19.10.14	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerro	3:1

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