Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Athletico Paranaense		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6
	2.1	3.3	3.5
	2.16	3.15	3.35
	2.16	3.1	3.4
	2.25	3.22	3.6
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.21	3.14	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	3.5 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
43.2%

Draw
29.9%

Ceará
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

30%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25.9%	7.4%

Athletico Paranaense - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Athletico PR has the most likely position - 9 (6.72%), has project points - 51, has currently - 3, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Ceará has the most likely position - 16 (6.78%), has project points - 47, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 48, small importance 30, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Athletico PR have a series of guest games.

Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores
03.05.22	The Strongest - Athletico Paranaense	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.22	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Tocantinópolis - Athletico Paranaense	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Ceará SC
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.22	Ceará - Deportivo La Guaira	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.22	Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.04.22	General Caballero JLM - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Tombense - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.04.22	Ceará - Botafogo RJ	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.11.21	Athletico Paranaense - Ceará	2:1
17.07.21	Ceará - Athletico Paranaense	1:0
31.01.21	Ceará - Athletico Paranaense	0:2
08.10.20	Athletico Paranaense - Ceará	0:0
30.11.19	Ceará - Athletico Paranaense	1:1
31.08.19	Athletico Paranaense - Ceará	1:0
25.11.18	Athletico Paranaense - Ceará	2:2

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