The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 37.8%
Draw 34.4%
São Paulo 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
32%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
33.3%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - São Paulo (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Santos (G) 29. Benavidez G. 3. Leo (C) 37. Esquivel L. 14. Kaua Moraes 53. Dudu Kogitzki 88. Patrick 61. Leo Derik 10. Zapelli B. 17. Mendoza S. 9. Viveros K.
23. Rafael (G) 32. Ferraresi N. 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 6. Soares C. 15. Rodriguinho 21. Bobadilla D. 13. Diaz E. 25. Alisson 10. Luciano 11. Ferreira
Substitutes
27. Alan Kardec 45. Belezi 63. Diogo Riquelme 5. Felipinho 6. Fernando 8. Giuliano 28. Habraao 11. Isaac 21. Leozinho 1. Mycael (G) 70. Renan Peixoto 30. Tevis
17. Andre Silva 43. Felipe Negrucci 37. Henrique Carmo 93. Jandrei (G) 33. Luan Silva 48. Lucas Ferreira 42. Maik 20. Marcos Antonio 29. Pablo Maia 36. Patryck 35. Sabino 14. Tapia G.
Coaches
Hellmann O.
Crespo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
4', Rafael 🟥,
7', Rodriguinho ↓, Jandrei ↑,
24', Viveros K. 🟨,
45+7', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
46', Robert Arboleda ↓, Sabino ↑,
46', Bobadilla D. ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
59', Leo 🟨,
63', Ferreira ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
65', Zapelli B. 🟨,
66', Kaua Moraes ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
80', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
84', Luciano ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
90+1', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
90+2', Jandrei 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Giuliano (Pen),
1, Sabino (Pen),
2, Esquivel L. (Pen),
2, Tapia G. (Pen),
3, Mendoza S. (Pen),
3, Jandrei (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
São Paulo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F.
(Foot Injury)
Esquivel L.
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Muscle Injury)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Watch
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Santos (G) 
Benavidez G. 
Mendoza S. 
Ferraresi N. 
Robert Arboleda 
Soares C. 
Bobadilla D. 
Tapia G. 
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