Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 33

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Atlético Goianiense		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.5	8
	1.36	4.5	9	Watch
	1.36	4.81	10.34
	1.33	4.6	9
	1.35	4.7	9.2	Watch
	1.35	4.6	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	4.62 ↑ (4)	8.99 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
69.3%

Draw
20.3%

ABC
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

21.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Goianiense's performance.

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Goianiense will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Alix 6. Lucas Esteves 5. Matheus Sales 8. Baralhas 10. Dodo 7. Kelvin 9. Gustavo Coutinho 11. Luiz Fernando	1. Michael (G) 2. Gedeilson 44. Fabricio 4. Habraao 51. Alemao 20. Ramon 27. Nathan Melo 7. Matheus Anjos 10. Thonny Anderson 22. Andrey 26. Anderson Cordeiro
Substitutes
21. Airton 20. Daniel Lima 12. Diego Loureiro (G) 13. Emerson Santos 14. Heron 15. Igor Ribeiro 17. Marcos Serrato 18. Matheus Peixoto 22. Matheus Regis 16. Renato 19. Rhaldney	15. Afonso 5. Daniel 97. Evandro 90. Matheus Refundini (G) 9. Paulo Sergio 8. Randerson 16. Romario 14. Wellington Reis 31. Welliton
Coaches
Ventura J.	Fuchs A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 1.

Atlético GO is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

ABC is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético GO is certain favorite.

There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Atlético GO to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
15.10.23	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ituano	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
22.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
10.10.23	ABC - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Chapecoense - ABC	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	ABC - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.06.23	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
06.10.15	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
07.07.15	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	1:2
23.09.14	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
20.05.14	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	2:0
Copa do Brasil
14.05.14	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	1:2
07.05.14	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1

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