The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 61%
Draw 21.7%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
21.8%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
21%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alebrijes de Oaxaca: 40% – 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. (C) 27. Garcia G. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 21. Robles C. 15. Torres H. 7. Vazquez I. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.
35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 13. Barreda I. 177. Bustos J. 33. Cortes J. 23. Hernandez A. 3. Justo A. 11. Mascorro H. 8. Morales F. 22. Ochoa Sanchez J. A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
Substitutes
22. Daccarett J. 23. Estrada J. (G) 9. Ferrer J. 6. Hernandez D. 19. Jaimes U. 11. Renteria R. 30. Robles A. 3. Rodriguez G. 8. Soto A. 26. Yanez J.
6. Arellano A. 20. Ayala D. 10. Cruz J. 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 19. Fadika B. 21. Franco J. 7. Lopez D. 29. Meza S. 1. Rodas C. (G) 12. Tamay A.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Hernandez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
14', Alvarez K. ↓, Ayala D. ↑,
40', Barreda I. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Alaffita Garcia E. J. ⚽,
45+3', Bustos J. 🟨,
45+7', Cortes J. 🟨,
45+8', 2 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽,
45+10', 3 - 0, Alvarez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bustos J. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
46', Mascorro H. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
61', Hernandez A. 🟨,
71', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
71', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
71', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
71', Hernandez A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
71', Barreda I. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
73', Robles A. 🟨,
82', 4 - 0, Robles A. ⚽,
85', Alvarez D. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
85', Barragan M. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Atlético La Paz is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Watch
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Alcala G. (G) 
Ferrer J. 
Rodriguez G. 
Fadika B. 
Franco J. 
Castillo H. 
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